@twnormie

#3,033,08617

0xbe1df537ee581632098a52921b8e4f923a8e3c6e

~92d· 98 markets · 412 tradesVol: $335,786 @twNormie2026-08-26 09:11:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (34/90)3.9/20
0.81x (win $6,448 / loss $8,005)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0010/15
Sortino -1.0980/10
$-0.0112 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 539 (90 markets)9.8/10
25/57 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 284% of peak ($3,923 / $1,382)0/10

Badges

2
Whale
$139,459 invested
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#19,700$2,143Vol: $105,491
SPORTS#1,854,993$-1,369Vol: $95,540
🎭 CULTURE#7,427$567Vol: $68,749
💻 TECH#264,950$-3,486Vol: $47,957
🏛️ POLITICS#61,820$109Vol: $17,209
💰 FINANCE#25,818$52Vol: $246

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,032
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$335,786
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
176B / 236S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$-49
Vol: $17,624
All Time
$-2,032
Vol: $335,786

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
34W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-2,028
Win Rate
38%
34W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$190
Avg Loss
$-151

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,438 (1.2022727384821776% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1,134
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$705
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?$598
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$458
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$405
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$391
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$356
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$355
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?$317
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$281

Top Losers

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-3,411
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$-503
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-501
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?$-344
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-316
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-296
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$-223
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$-177
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-170
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
256
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
28.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2024s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)50.6%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 7:58:24 AM13 trades$20,2140 min
8/11/2026, 8:02:51 PM13 trades$16,0390 min
1/1/2026, 2:32:19 PM3 trades$12,3353 min
12/1/2025, 5:15:04 PM2 trades$11,7230 min
6/28/2026, 7:17:04 AM23 trades$11,1420 min
11/21/2025, 3:25:57 PM3 trades$10,6932 min
7/16/2026, 8:04:14 AM9 trades$9,2320 min
5/1/2026, 8:06:00 AM12 trades$7,8630 min
12/9/2025, 12:47:33 PM2 trades$7,6185 min
11/24/2025, 2:10:19 PM2 trades$7,6121 min
7/15/2026, 9:56:55 PM12 trades$7,3900 min
11/26/2025, 4:03:37 PM3 trades$7,1008 min
11/30/2025, 9:18:18 PM3 trades$5,6467 min
7/22/2026, 7:52:48 AM17 trades$5,5810 min
12/1/2025, 7:19:40 AM1 trades$5,2000 min
11/30/2025, 8:32:15 AM1 trades$5,1160 min
11/24/2025, 6:37:37 PM1 trades$5,1120 min
10/30/2025, 11:45:15 AM1 trades$4,5010 min
11/18/2025, 11:47:37 PM1 trades$4,2650 min
7/23/2026, 5:15:16 PM9 trades$4,0070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
10-30
11-17
12-07
01-16
05-20
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.8 / M21.6 / H50.6