tymedu

@tymedu

#3,031,37862

0xf25b97c7b6b9cc2a8f898ae3bdf157781a6882d0

~264d· 2778 markets · 21090 tradesVol: $1,643,7442026-08-05 18:26:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (1001/2563)4.5/20
1.58x (win $23,832 / loss $15,117)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.25715/15
Sortino 5.32610/10
$+0.0341 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 50 (2563 markets)10/10
89/260 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($2,463 / $11,099)9.6/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20
Whale
$255,924 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#274,119$-43Vol: $20,929

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,485
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,643,744
Total Redeem
$638
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2778
total markets
Trades
13639B / 7451S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~264d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
1001W / 1561L events
Realized PnL
$-3,485
Win Rate
39%
1001W / 1561L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,926 (2.8487473095135596% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$4,576
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,907
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$2,444
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$1,986
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,421
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$738
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$733
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$397
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$372
Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-2.5)$306

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-1,395
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-382
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-368
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-315
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-315
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-314
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies$-310
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-274
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-244
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-242

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.246
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.5
Very active
Markets / Day
9.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 301s — normal for humanCV 2.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock75 trades/day — mass trading9.8 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.3%
High (>55c)29.1%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 6:26:43 PM5 trades$3,4800 min
5/27/2026, 7:33:25 PM11 trades$3,3183 min
4/29/2026, 6:59:04 PM13 trades$2,6182 min
6/21/2026, 11:35:56 AM7 trades$1,9622 min
6/15/2026, 2:18:54 PM60 trades$1,75215 min
4/27/2026, 2:22:38 PM7 trades$1,6500 min
4/24/2026, 3:38:34 PM18 trades$1,3662 min
5/18/2026, 3:52:54 PM2 trades$1,2000 min
3/19/2026, 10:01:57 PM1 trades$1,1930 min
6/21/2026, 8:43:23 AM9 trades$1,1288 min
5/13/2026, 7:26:12 AM2 trades$1,1232 min
3/17/2026, 3:57:27 PM4 trades$1,1108 min
5/18/2026, 5:15:30 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/17/2026, 6:19:49 AM6 trades$9935 min
5/16/2026, 6:10:09 PM5 trades$9850 min
6/21/2026, 9:24:49 AM9 trades$9634 min
5/11/2026, 6:05:31 PM1 trades$9400 min
4/24/2026, 8:13:46 AM2 trades$9300 min
5/20/2026, 9:28:42 PM2 trades$9200 min
7/1/2026, 3:08:14 PM4 trades$9066 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-27
12-28
02-09
03-24
05-06
06-21
08-04
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.6 / M5.3 / H29.1