uncleroger

@uncleroger

#1,25790

0x0aae5c4ec45339a64a1dd2fe4ba98c2a19eb251c

~282d· 779 markets · 12061 tradesVol: $16,972,9042026-08-04 18:09:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (533/752)20/20
2.47x (win $303,192 / loss $122,827)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.94915/15
Sortino 12.42610/10
$+0.0173 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 335 (752 markets)10/10
143/210 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($22,673 / $180,365)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+160,078
DCA Master
Avg 14.9 entries/market
Whale
$10,420,843 invested
Consistent
143/210 profitable days
High Roller
$16,334/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#64$97,913Vol: $5,776,825
🏛️ POLITICS#2,421$17,585Vol: $5,008,733
CRYPTO#1,432$30,195Vol: $3,973,107
💰 FINANCE#506$10,796Vol: $889,922
🎭 CULTURE#814,875$-3,049Vol: $552,285
SPORTS#12,137$3,707Vol: $360,230
💻 TECH#258,100$-1,631Vol: $193,079
🌤️ WEATHER#350$5,734Vol: $168,626
📢 MENTIONS#174,244$-692Vol: $31,396

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$159,685
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,972,904
Total Redeem
$69,197
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
779
total markets
Trades
6524B / 5537S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~282d

Periods

#2
Today
$-389
Vol: $2,094
Week
$-404
Vol: $3,064
Month
$-161
Vol: $30,928
All Time
$159,685
Vol: $16,972,904

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
533W / 219L events
Realized PnL
$160,078
Win Rate
71%
533W / 219L
Profit Factor
2.47x
Avg Win
$569
Avg Loss
$-574

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74,915 (0.46799247990899423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$34,260
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$25,716
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$14,939
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$13,766
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$13,073
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$12,615
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10,808
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$8,925
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$7,171
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$6,520

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$-9,742
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-7,703
TikTok sale announced in 2025?$-5,748
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?$-5,673
Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?$-5,232
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?$-4,851
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?$-4,306
Ethereum all time high before 2026?$-4,239
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-3,900
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?$-3,720

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.206
Sortino
0.415
HHI
423
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
37.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.8m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
53.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 6.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.93
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)84.2%

Sessions

#12
1/16/2025, 10:24:31 AM8 trades$500,7244 min
1/20/2025, 12:08:55 PM6 trades$391,8785 min
1/27/2026, 1:02:31 PM396 trades$317,20428 min
9/11/2025, 10:58:23 AM4 trades$301,4602 min
10/29/2025, 12:43:19 PM48 trades$270,40629 min
12/2/2025, 12:10:22 AM1 trades$269,4470 min
12/7/2025, 6:19:01 PM1 trades$251,4820 min
10/29/2025, 4:47:53 PM1 trades$250,0000 min
5/31/2025, 12:19:25 PM1 trades$235,8140 min
11/25/2025, 6:53:01 PM3 trades$231,0449 min
9/16/2025, 7:50:44 PM2 trades$199,9542 min
12/26/2025, 1:37:27 PM19 trades$199,53111 min
10/29/2025, 4:48:05 AM44 trades$195,70628 min
1/1/2026, 4:05:41 PM9 trades$178,4413 min
12/27/2024, 12:43:38 PM203 trades$167,132131 min
11/14/2025, 6:37:14 PM10 trades$152,69211 min
10/1/2025, 2:52:31 AM10 trades$137,5950 min
12/25/2024, 9:47:41 PM13 trades$128,37912 min
10/29/2025, 9:17:35 PM16 trades$124,5059 min
11/11/2025, 4:19:54 PM4 trades$124,1581 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
01-19
08-20
11-20
12-28
02-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.1 / M6.7 / H84.2