waltergarcia

@waltergarcia

#2,805,2667

0xe19ace94a1b8fbf6dc369157d98cc8b28af2f405

~31d· 33 markets · 55 tradesVol: $18,0072026-09-21 18:54:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (7/30)0/20
0.46x (win $174 / loss $380)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3970/15
Sortino -3.8590/10
$-0.0350 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1144 (30 markets)6.8/10
7/28 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($344 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,417,317$-28Vol: $10,452
SPORTS#1,781,862$-226Vol: $7,527
CRYPTO#693,399$-0Vol: $16
🎭 CULTURE#376,225$-0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-254
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,007
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
36B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-254
Vol: $18,007

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
7W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-250
Win Rate
23%
7W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $146 (0.5832066565325226% of PnL)

Top Winners

Heat vs. Magic$107
Liberty vs. Mercury$20
Brewers vs. Padres$19
Pirates vs. Reds$19
MLB All-Star Game$6
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers$4
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$0

Top Losers

South Florida vs. San José State$-150
Jets vs. Maple Leafs$-107
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-39
Rockets vs. Kings$-24
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-20
Rays vs. Orioles$-18
Blue Jays vs. Rays$-15
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?$-2
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$-2
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.183
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.336
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
7.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18688s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.47
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)52.8%

Sessions

#12
8/10/2026, 12:32:58 PM4 trades$2,1073 min
8/10/2026, 4:02:00 PM5 trades$2,1004 min
8/9/2026, 11:40:12 PM2 trades$1,0580 min
12/24/2024, 12:04:58 AM1 trades$1500 min
12/23/2024, 4:09:16 AM1 trades$1070 min
12/26/2024, 9:49:50 AM1 trades$1040 min
12/13/2024, 8:06:21 AM1 trades$390 min
9/23/2025, 10:00:26 AM2 trades$301 min
9/14/2025, 3:57:14 PM1 trades$250 min
12/2/2024, 8:25:53 AM1 trades$240 min
9/22/2025, 11:55:18 AM1 trades$220 min
10/1/2024, 10:32:50 AM1 trades$200 min
9/16/2025, 12:21:18 PM1 trades$150 min
7/14/2025, 11:43:18 AM1 trades$60 min
4/10/2025, 7:19:32 AM1 trades$60 min
4/10/2025, 12:13:02 PM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 7:50:27 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 12:14:47 PM1 trades$60 min
5/7/2025, 8:08:57 AM1 trades$50 min
5/7/2025, 2:41:13 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
12-23
03-13
04-10
05-05
05-14
09-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.4 / M27.8 / H52.8