@warren861010

#2,416,37018

0x10c70c7642142dee95c487d1ddc24f23dff2ec1c

~19d· 51 markets · 193 tradesVol: $1,462 @warren8610102026-09-21 19:36:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (19/41)8.2/20
0.54x (win $25 / loss $46)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0200/15
Sortino -5.7460/10
$-0.0933 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 559 (41 markets)9.7/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($23 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,205,397$-14Vol: $611
🌤️ WEATHER#240,123$-9Vol: $326
🏛️ POLITICS#1,013,832$-2Vol: $246
⚽ SPORTS#1,534,799$-29Vol: $135
🎭 CULTURE#640,256$-5Vol: $129
💰 FINANCE#86,641$4Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,462
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
94B / 99S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $4
Week
$0
Vol: $70
Month
$-0
Vol: $183
All Time
$-56
Vol: $1,462

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
19W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-54
Win Rate
46%
19W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (0.28085901027077503% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 7?$6
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?$5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$4
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?$3
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5$2
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$-12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-8
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-4
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?$-3
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$-2
Spread: UMF Stjarnan (-1.5)$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$-2
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks$-2
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.254
Sortino
-0.306
HHI
460
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)83%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 7:17:00 PM9 trades$650 min
4/22/2026, 9:36:10 AM16 trades$612 min
5/18/2026, 8:13:33 AM30 trades$2110 min
5/31/2026, 1:46:33 PM34 trades$211 min
4/27/2026, 7:21:54 AM6 trades$201 min
4/27/2026, 7:35:22 AM4 trades$183 min
5/18/2026, 7:48:04 AM10 trades$166 min
5/10/2026, 5:03:30 PM2 trades$140 min
5/31/2026, 2:03:21 PM4 trades$132 min
9/5/2026, 3:58:46 PM4 trades$100 min
6/6/2026, 4:00:13 PM4 trades$101 min
4/21/2026, 7:03:56 PM3 trades$90 min
6/1/2026, 1:46:04 PM2 trades$90 min
6/6/2026, 8:15:48 PM4 trades$91 min
6/7/2026, 2:04:19 PM2 trades$90 min
6/1/2026, 12:49:50 PM2 trades$80 min
6/6/2026, 3:53:00 PM3 trades$80 min
6/6/2026, 2:20:54 PM2 trades$70 min
6/7/2026, 10:30:39 AM2 trades$70 min
6/5/2026, 4:56:12 PM2 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
04-27
05-18
05-31
06-05
06-07
07-07
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
7.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M7.4 / H83