@weird-fishes

#2,519,08437

0xab738788610c26d67d5d2be6c6a37cfd4f23a3e1

~80d· 133 markets · 528 tradesVol: $11,1012026-08-04 21:04:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (75/113)18.2/20
0.76x (win $697 / loss $915)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3100/15
Sortino -1.6840/10
$-0.0555 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 513 (113 markets)9.9/10
33/50 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 271% of peak ($355 / $131)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Consistent
33/50 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,233,240$-6Vol: $4,708
🏛️ POLITICS#79,412$65Vol: $4,069
🌤️ WEATHER#288,620$-145Vol: $2,038
💰 FINANCE#549,273$-5Vol: $115
📈 ECONOMICS#264,648$0Vol: $110
🎭 CULTURE#613,810$-3Vol: $32
💻 TECH#35,011$2Vol: $20
📢 MENTIONS#74,431$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-92
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,101
Total Redeem
$85
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
364B / 164S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $28
Month
$2
Vol: $28
All Time
$-92
Vol: $11,101

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
75W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-92
Win Rate
66%
75W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $432 (4.667387777176852% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$187
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$166
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$52
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$18
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?$15
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9

Top Losers

Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-234
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?$-132
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?$-85
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-78
Spread: Senegal (-4.5)$-76
Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-61
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$-51
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-38
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$-37
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
420
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
39.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 808s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)62.6%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 8:41:23 PM16 trades$4399 min
6/21/2026, 5:46:44 AM15 trades$3447 min
7/16/2026, 1:52:38 PM9 trades$3010 min
6/21/2026, 3:49:17 AM27 trades$24019 min
7/18/2026, 11:53:00 PM1 trades$1840 min
6/27/2026, 6:13:35 AM3 trades$1350 min
6/28/2026, 1:24:22 AM5 trades$1272 min
6/21/2026, 7:13:37 AM3 trades$1160 min
6/18/2026, 4:18:35 PM5 trades$1126 min
6/21/2026, 6:31:22 AM20 trades$1025 min
6/27/2026, 6:58:35 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/22/2026, 5:07:37 PM1 trades$970 min
6/28/2026, 1:36:26 AM3 trades$960 min
6/25/2026, 5:12:08 AM8 trades$941 min
7/22/2026, 3:54:45 PM1 trades$910 min
6/23/2026, 11:24:01 AM1 trades$910 min
6/26/2026, 3:40:14 PM2 trades$800 min
7/25/2026, 2:45:36 PM2 trades$800 min
6/21/2026, 2:04:46 AM6 trades$7313 min
6/21/2026, 7:24:55 AM3 trades$664 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-19
02-11
03-15
04-19
06-25
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.6 / M22.8 / H62.6