@whatstheword

#2,735,2440

0x2bbc05ff7b13c243262535a4c9ecc0d1b066799f

~30d· 75 markets · 261 tradesVol: $29,5442026-08-26 09:17:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (21/70)0/20
0.39x (win $140 / loss $356)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.1350/15
Sortino -8.0690/10
$-0.2046 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3271 (70 markets)0/10
5/22 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($216 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,492,967$-61Vol: $18,842
📈 ECONOMICS#637,673$-24Vol: $6,811
📢 MENTIONS#165,413$-91Vol: $1,804
🎭 CULTURE#753,859$-33Vol: $1,738
₿ CRYPTO#512,897$0Vol: $160
🌤️ WEATHER#56,965$1Vol: $130
⚽ SPORTS#266,044$13Vol: $52
💻 TECH#192,869$-1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-196
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,544
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
204B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $43
Week
$-29
Vol: $907
Month
$24
Vol: $13,809
All Time
$-196
Vol: $29,544

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
21W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-216
Win Rate
30%
21W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89 (0.4142209054717156% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump say "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?$63
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$18
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$9
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber$9
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez $8
Will Trump say "Chokepoint" or "Choke Point" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?$8
Will Trump say "Fed" or "Powell" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?$6
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?$4
Will Trump say “Nuclear weapon” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$3
Will Trump say "BRICS" this week?$3

Top Losers

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?$-52
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?$-33
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?$-32
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?$-32
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$-27
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-17
Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?$-17
Will Trump say "Surplus" during Philippines President events on July 22?$-15
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?$-11
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.365
Sortino
-0.487
HHI
2063
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.220
Kelly %
6.7%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
44.1%
Top-5 markets
60.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1028s — normal for humanCV 3.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)67.2%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)0.5%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2025, 3:33:26 PM3 trades$4381 min
7/16/2025, 3:46:30 PM2 trades$3000 min
7/12/2025, 3:22:00 AM1 trades$730 min
7/12/2025, 3:50:10 AM1 trades$690 min
8/13/2026, 3:35:34 AM8 trades$431 min
8/14/2026, 1:21:01 AM4 trades$404 min
7/17/2025, 3:02:36 AM2 trades$393 min
7/17/2025, 1:52:30 PM1 trades$330 min
5/30/2025, 8:34:02 AM6 trades$328 min
6/29/2025, 9:03:17 AM3 trades$272 min
6/29/2025, 10:14:09 AM2 trades$272 min
5/30/2025, 1:20:47 AM1 trades$240 min
7/21/2025, 2:25:58 PM2 trades$234 min
7/18/2025, 5:47:29 PM2 trades$221 min
7/18/2025, 1:33:52 PM1 trades$190 min
7/20/2025, 11:54:45 AM2 trades$192 min
7/27/2025, 3:04:23 PM1 trades$180 min
7/26/2025, 7:24:46 PM1 trades$180 min
7/23/2025, 7:32:09 PM1 trades$170 min
7/19/2025, 3:37:22 PM1 trades$160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
06-29
07-04
07-11
07-17
07-20
07-23
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.2 / M32.4 / H0.5