whynotchocolate

@whynotchocolate

#20,48991

0x85630920a4199fb360724c2e07492b343cdf5e98

~177d· 8587 markets · 28759 tradesVol: $1,606,578 @BlackCatAnomaly2026-08-02 09:49:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

96% (8202/8568)20/20
2.67x (win $12,665 / loss $4,750)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.44715/15
Sortino 17.55410/10
$+0.0106 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 3 (8568 markets)10/10
155/176 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($550 / $8,283)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+6,534
Whale
$745,045 invested
Consistent
155/176 profitable days
High Roller
$1,521/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
195 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#7,615$6,310Vol: $1,577,399

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,537
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,606,578
Total Redeem
$720
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8587
total markets
Trades
13981B / 14778S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~177d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $1,578
Week
$13
Vol: $1,578
Month
$-39
Vol: $6,299
All Time
$6,537
Vol: $1,606,578

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
96%
8201W / 366L events
Realized PnL
$6,534
Win Rate
96%
8201W / 366L
Profit Factor
2.67x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $700 (0.10713979639934133% of PnL)

Top Winners

Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5$423
Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: Both Teams to Score$140
Exact Score: Chicago Stars FC 0 - 2 Angel City FC?$137
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5$121
Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?$113
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5$90
Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5$67
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals$62
ITF Luque: Josefina Estevez vs Tiziana Rossini$62
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$56

Top Losers

Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 16.5$-297
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Buffalo Bulls (W)$-247
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$-198
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5$-184
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5$-176
Makarska (Doubles): Huergo/Jakupovic vs Haverlag/Waltert$-161
Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5$-158
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Toledo Rockets (W)$-153
Valencia CF leading at halftime?$-150
Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5$-149

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.441
Sortino
0.429
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.1%
Top-5 markets
0.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.7
Very active
Markets / Day
17.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.4m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock59 trades/day — mass trading18 markets/day — mass coverage50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99.3%

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 2:02:57 AM128 trades$10,74782 min
2/7/2026, 9:40:17 PM42 trades$7,44934 min
2/8/2026, 9:06:17 PM57 trades$6,70425 min
2/10/2026, 2:40:23 AM79 trades$6,60343 min
4/25/2026, 3:20:10 PM180 trades$6,46867 min
2/8/2026, 5:18:15 PM30 trades$5,97926 min
2/12/2026, 7:26:01 PM20 trades$5,5424 min
3/21/2026, 12:51:15 AM93 trades$5,39456 min
2/11/2026, 9:36:31 PM40 trades$5,00126 min
4/28/2026, 8:30:16 PM73 trades$4,74744 min
5/9/2026, 3:41:40 PM178 trades$4,72264 min
2/7/2026, 4:53:27 PM20 trades$4,59812 min
2/8/2026, 9:37:33 PM15 trades$4,17214 min
2/10/2026, 9:55:45 PM32 trades$4,14821 min
2/7/2026, 5:22:05 PM12 trades$4,04511 min
2/12/2026, 2:20:51 AM87 trades$4,00256 min
2/8/2026, 6:02:25 PM26 trades$3,78917 min
2/10/2026, 8:58:35 PM18 trades$3,78812 min
2/10/2026, 4:34:17 AM31 trades$3,50712 min
6/16/2026, 1:09:52 PM82 trades$3,36551 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
03-07
04-05
05-04
06-03
07-02
08-01
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M0.1 / H99.3