@willacosta

#270,7687

0x6c9ebd31037e142a151689a9e1fa3b72789578b0

~26d· 28 markets · 69 tradesVol: $16,3812026-09-21 20:15:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (4/23)0/20
0.99x (win $283 / loss $286)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0360/15
Sortino -0.0490/10
$-0.0002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1662 (23 markets)4.2/10
4/22 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 101% of peak ($172 / $170)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+71

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,224,672$-8Vol: $10,975
⚽ SPORTS#136,330$76Vol: $5,390
₿ CRYPTO#677,729$-0Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$68
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,381
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
36B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$68
Vol: $16,381

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
4W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$71
Win Rate
17%
4W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $283 (3.991830985915493% of PnL)

Top Winners

South Florida vs. San José State$147
Hawks vs. Spurs$99
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$38
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-157
Jets vs. Maple Leafs$-112
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers$-9
MLB All-Star Game$-2
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$-2
West Ham United wins the Premier League?$-1
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$-1
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.002
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16064s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.74
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)55.6%

Sessions

#12
8/14/2026, 3:59:55 PM13 trades$2,2403 min
8/15/2026, 10:46:07 AM4 trades$2,0572 min
8/15/2026, 9:08:58 AM4 trades$2,0443 min
8/14/2026, 6:56:36 PM2 trades$1,0390 min
8/15/2026, 1:02:13 PM2 trades$1,0330 min
8/13/2026, 3:34:48 PM2 trades$1,0250 min
8/14/2026, 7:02:33 PM2 trades$1,0200 min
7/10/2026, 2:23:26 PM4 trades$1980 min
12/19/2024, 9:14:46 AM1 trades$1210 min
12/23/2024, 2:20:06 AM1 trades$1120 min
12/24/2024, 12:04:58 AM1 trades$1040 min
12/13/2024, 9:41:19 AM1 trades$600 min
7/29/2025, 7:09:27 AM2 trades$93 min
5/14/2025, 3:22:12 AM1 trades$60 min
5/14/2025, 8:07:04 AM1 trades$60 min
4/17/2025, 7:46:35 AM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2025, 1:28:40 PM1 trades$50 min
4/30/2025, 10:19:07 AM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 6:09:22 AM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 12:01:44 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
12-23
03-13
04-09
04-23
05-08
06-23
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 563 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M30.6 / H55.6