@winesom

#18,38390

0x3034b5a37eef3aa86c7a713185829e93510add88

~121d· 423 markets · 742 tradesVol: $80,0852026-08-04 15:17:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (285/419)19/20
2.34x (win $18,023 / loss $7,689)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.47215/15
Sortino 8.62410/10
$+0.4069 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 716 (419 markets)8.9/10
56/110 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($4,303 / $11,823)6.7/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+7,566
Win Streak
14 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#4,564$7,895Vol: $77,237
SPORTS#1,771,463$-317Vol: $2,060
CRYPTO#364,365$2Vol: $410
📈 ECONOMICS#219,861$0Vol: $283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,566
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,085
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
423
total markets
Trades
462B / 280S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $0
Week
$-64
Vol: $292
Month
$-45
Vol: $292
All Time
$7,566
Vol: $80,085

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
285W / 134L events
Realized PnL
$7,566
Win Rate
68%
285W / 134L
Profit Factor
2.34x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-57

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,291 (1.492361291925663% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$5,414
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$2,963
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$2,914
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$2,696
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$1,490
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$1,425
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$717
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$98
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?$22
Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?$16

Top Losers

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$-1,851
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$-981
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?$-797
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$-656
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$-500
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$-495
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$-423
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?$-379
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$-303
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?$-221

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
0.330
HHI
670
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.440
Kelly %
43.9%
Half-Kelly
21.9%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
51.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 4.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.61
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)77.1%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 4:35:43 PM34 trades$5,6051 min
2/17/2026, 1:00:05 PM6 trades$4,2306 min
3/21/2026, 5:51:27 PM1 trades$2,9850 min
7/27/2026, 12:55:42 PM22 trades$2,9661 min
3/2/2026, 5:21:19 PM1 trades$2,9570 min
7/23/2026, 12:44:58 PM4 trades$2,5420 min
5/1/2026, 12:45:42 PM29 trades$2,5255 min
7/24/2026, 12:22:52 PM27 trades$2,3217 min
4/23/2026, 1:18:54 PM2 trades$2,0400 min
5/1/2026, 12:40:24 PM30 trades$1,9400 min
7/10/2026, 11:07:47 AM14 trades$1,8161 min
4/6/2026, 2:05:37 PM19 trades$1,8140 min
7/31/2026, 12:02:27 PM16 trades$1,7211 min
7/1/2026, 10:19:41 PM22 trades$1,6230 min
6/1/2026, 11:25:38 AM25 trades$1,5291 min
2/3/2026, 2:16:28 PM3 trades$1,2392 min
1/27/2026, 3:08:39 PM1 trades$1,1550 min
5/30/2026, 3:50:31 PM17 trades$1,1420 min
2/23/2026, 3:09:22 PM1 trades$9980 min
6/23/2026, 1:13:08 PM13 trades$8230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
02-13
03-09
03-29
04-25
07-21
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 100 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M18.8 / H77.1