@wolfmoon
#10,141570x77a18f221083fdd5ca17aef29ff48aaaa669de3d
~158d· 187 markets · 1613 tradesVol: $935,1522026-08-03 19:25:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (66/145)7.8/20
1.36x (win $57,479 / loss $42,201)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.71715/15
Sortino 2.86410/10
$+0.0486 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 362 (145 markets)10/10
34/70 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($17,791 / $24,185)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+15,113
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Whale
$314,055 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🎭 CULTURE#950$8,652Vol: $458,685
🏛️ POLITICS#5,810$5,665Vol: $411,403
⚽ SPORTS#1,753,080$-242Vol: $13,988
📈 ECONOMICS#10,992$124Vol: $6,382
💰 FINANCE#21,265$74Vol: $1,978
₿ CRYPTO#1,534,436$-201Vol: $643
Overview
#1Net PnL
$15,113
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$935,152
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
187
total markets
Trades
594B / 1019S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~158d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $926
Week
$-0
Vol: $3,431
Month
$146
Vol: $4,672
All Time
$15,113
Vol: $935,152
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
66W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$15,113
Win Rate
46%
66W / 79L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$871
Avg Loss
$-548
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,519 (1.4238458489733343% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?$8,563
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$6,768
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$6,189
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5,681
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$4,137
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$3,577
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2,391
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$2,041
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,953
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$1,691
Top Losers
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-5,635
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-5,615
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$-4,890
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-3,110
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-2,362
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$-1,772
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-1,679
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$-1,364
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$-1,361
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$-1,320
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.089
Sortino
0.122
HHI
235
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
28.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 918s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.87
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)29.8%
High (>55c)60.6%
Sessions
#123/29/2025, 1:03:44 PM4 trades$20,1315 min
3/11/2025, 6:23:19 PM2 trades$14,1611 min
4/29/2025, 8:20:56 AM2 trades$11,9442 min
2/24/2025, 10:25:16 PM2 trades$10,9242 min
5/29/2025, 9:32:41 PM2 trades$9,8081 min
3/19/2025, 1:15:10 PM2 trades$9,7921 min
5/15/2026, 9:47:14 PM36 trades$9,78211 min
9/29/2025, 3:26:33 PM4 trades$9,24310 min
3/6/2025, 12:34:33 PM1 trades$8,2380 min
6/17/2026, 5:24:53 PM35 trades$7,1524 min
5/21/2025, 8:18:01 AM1 trades$7,0000 min
4/9/2025, 12:12:01 AM2 trades$6,4414 min
5/17/2025, 10:34:37 PM2 trades$6,3114 min
1/29/2025, 11:00:27 AM1 trades$6,2290 min
5/17/2025, 8:07:22 PM1 trades$6,0420 min
5/3/2025, 11:57:19 AM1 trades$6,0000 min
5/21/2025, 8:27:19 AM2 trades$6,0003 min
5/21/2025, 8:52:07 AM2 trades$5,5004 min
4/26/2025, 1:34:00 PM3 trades$5,4882 min
5/18/2026, 10:53:08 AM12 trades$5,2020 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
03-06
03-29
05-15
02-09
05-16
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M29.8 / H60.6