Polydata

@wtrader2580

#82,260100

0x38a1b79cc3b9c1742ac047c8c6e39e2f8aaf3154

19d· 1684 markets · 2815 tradesVol: $45,1022026-06-17T14:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 80%20/20
Profit Factor 21.08x15/15
Sharpe 1.48315/15
Sortino 130689.59610/10
EV $+0.34610/10
HHI 1910/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Wtrader2580 is an elite-level trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #82,260 globally by net profit and boasting a net PnL of $860.40. In just 19 days of activity, they have executed 2,815 trades across 1,014 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $45,000. Their portfolio value stands at $1,354.51, supported by a high Smart Score of 100/100, reflecting a well-managed and consistently profitable approach.

This trader specializes exclusively in weather markets, with a 100% focus in this niche. Wtrader2580 demonstrates a highly disciplined style, reflected in a remarkable win rate of 93.8% and a profit factor of 21.08, indicating strong risk-adjusted returns. The Sharpe ratio of 1.48 suggests moderate volatility relative to returns, while the zero sell percentage and a max drawdown duration of zero days imply a long-term holding strategy with minimal exposure to sudden losses. The Bot Score of 70/100 hints at partial automation in their trading process.

Wtrader2580’s main strengths include exceptional accuracy and consistent upward equity trends, supported by badges such as Sniper and Diamond Hands that underscore precision and patience. However, their exclusive focus on weather markets and a zero sell rate could pose risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Additionally, while their short trading history is impressive, longer-term data is needed to confirm sustained performance in the dynamic Polymarket environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+860
Lottery Player
34% entries <$0.20
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Weather Pro
100% weather
Bot
Score 70/100
Hedger
avg 2.4 brackets/event
Win Streak
92 wins in a row
Consistent
19/20 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#1,580$860Vol: $45,102

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$860
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,102
Total Redeem
$5,735
Portfolio
$1,355
Predictions
1684
total markets
Trades
2815B / 0S
Daily Volume
$397
Account Age
19d
since May 29, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$196
Vol: $1,643
Week
$538
Vol: $10,458
Month
$793
Vol: $42,663
All Time
$860
Vol: $45,102

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
87%
229W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$2,375
Win Rate
94%
392W / 25L
Profit Factor
21.08x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $236 (14.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June$109
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?$84
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?$43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16?$34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June$33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on Jun$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?$30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?$30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?$25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?$21

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June$-25
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June$-11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 17?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 16?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 17?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 17?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 17?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?$-2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F $-2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F $-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.483
Sortino
inf
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.346
Kelly %
89.3%
Half-Kelly
44.6%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
258.5
Very active
Markets / Day
93.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 216s — typical for humanSize CV 0.62 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.72 — human randomness259 trades/day — automation93 markets/day — mass coverage418 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
319 entries
<=2
508 entries
<=5
954 entries
<=10
1013 entries
<=20
1014 entries
<=50
1014 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)65.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 12.6%

Dallas$176
Wuhan$107
Taipei$102
Shenzhen$79
London$75
Shanghai$66
Cape Town$63
Guangzhou$60
Singapore$60
Chicago$58
Istanbul$56
Hong Kong$54
Seoul$50
Moscow$46
Chengdu$43
Milan$40
Beijing$34
Toronto$33

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.4
Events covered
421

Moderate coverage

<=1
137 brackets
<=2
256 brackets
<=3
331 brackets
<=4
381 brackets
<=5
409 brackets
<=8
421 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 4:44:45 PM1 trades$10 min
6/6/2026, 9:12:03 PM1 trades$10 min
6/6/2026, 10:18:18 PM1 trades$10 min
6/6/2026, 10:59:58 PM1 trades$10 min
6/6/2026, 11:45:54 PM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 12:28:19 AM2 trades$82 min
6/7/2026, 12:39:55 AM5 trades$1612 min
6/7/2026, 1:51:54 AM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 2:01:48 AM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 3:22:04 AM1 trades$40 min
6/7/2026, 3:31:58 AM1 trades$40 min
6/7/2026, 3:42:31 AM1 trades$40 min
6/7/2026, 4:19:55 AM3 trades$33 min
6/7/2026, 4:28:34 AM2 trades$21 min
6/7/2026, 4:38:16 AM3 trades$36 min
6/7/2026, 5:21:48 AM2 trades$12 min
6/7/2026, 6:03:30 AM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 6:13:06 AM1 trades$40 min
6/7/2026, 6:21:09 AM1 trades$10 min
6/7/2026, 6:31:07 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-03
06-06
06-09
06-12
06-15
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.4 br/event