@x6916Cc0…2fd4

#44528

0x6916cc00aa1c3e75ecf4081df7cae7d2f3592fd4

~533d· 2294 markets · 429543 tradesVol: $159,076,8302026-10-07 18:16:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (1145/2208)10.9/20
0.91x (win $506,999 / loss $557,791)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3290/15
Sortino -0.3720/10
$-0.0098 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 47 (2208 markets)10/10
226/426 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 167% of peak ($161,042 / $96,479)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+443,880
Diamond Hands
5% sells
DCA Master
Avg 20.3 entries/market
Whale
$5,194,666 invested
High Roller
$9,462/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
₿ CRYPTO#43$452,159Vol: $159,076,780

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$452,159
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$159,076,830
Total Redeem
$23,888
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2294
total markets
Trades
22445B / 20186S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~533d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,635
Vol: $130,833
Week
$6,770
Vol: $1,351,911
Month
$17,166
Vol: $6,872,814
All Time
$452,159
Vol: $159,076,830

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
1632W / 929L events
Realized PnL
$443,880
Win Rate
64%
1632W / 929L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$443
Avg Loss
$-527

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $80,783 (0.18199291358599423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$33,996
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$24,926
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$21,861
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$17,486
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$11,390
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?$11,313
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$11,292
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$9,148
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?$9,085
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?$8,879

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-72,377
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-40,709
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-21,094
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$-15,570
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$-13,368
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$-12,225
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$-11,637
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-11,020
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$-10,018
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$-9,236

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
57
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
782.4
Very active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.8m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 396s — normal for humanCV 3.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock782 trades/day — automation4.2 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.5%
Mid (20-55c)27.5%
High (>55c)55%

Sessions

#12
2/7/2026, 7:20:47 PM2 trades$24,3083 min
7/14/2026, 12:46:05 PM39 trades$23,9664 min
2/5/2026, 4:40:39 PM12 trades$21,58314 min
9/16/2026, 7:51:16 PM2 trades$21,3340 min
9/15/2026, 6:57:16 PM2 trades$20,7622 min
2/3/2026, 7:09:42 PM36 trades$20,66624 min
4/10/2026, 6:49:45 PM2 trades$20,0413 min
7/13/2026, 12:38:01 PM1 trades$19,9000 min
5/23/2026, 8:17:23 PM1 trades$19,8800 min
3/27/2026, 12:23:09 PM3 trades$19,8507 min
7/12/2026, 1:50:31 AM5 trades$19,7631 min
3/21/2026, 7:59:31 PM1 trades$19,7200 min
3/18/2026, 12:40:11 AM1 trades$19,7000 min
2/11/2026, 1:45:55 AM1 trades$19,6800 min
1/31/2026, 4:49:04 PM71 trades$19,06073 min
3/19/2026, 4:29:37 PM1 trades$18,3370 min
9/10/2026, 9:43:33 AM3 trades$17,9961 min
3/15/2026, 7:25:07 PM1 trades$17,8240 min
9/20/2026, 9:48:52 PM2 trades$17,5490 min
8/24/2026, 4:32:30 AM2 trades$17,1911 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
06-24
09-05
11-24
02-16
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.5 / M27.5 / H55