xasd-440

@xasd-440

#3,054,7960

0xfa3b4d18b821ff075d9290fea82434b3ae106900

~37d· 21 markets · 991 tradesVol: $431,5852026-08-03 18:32:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (3/18)0/20
0.78x (win $119 / loss $153)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4390/15
Sortino -2.8560/10
$-0.0011 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4031 (18 markets)0/10
2/13 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($142 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
94% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#818,174$-8,765Vol: $429,004
₿ CRYPTO#1,277,395$-22Vol: $914
🏛️ POLITICS#1,318,669$-13Vol: $638
💰 FINANCE#609,120$-33Vol: $575
📈 ECONOMICS#645,892$-47Vol: $361
💻 TECH#30,102$3Vol: $94

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,877
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$431,585
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
362B / 629S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-96
Vol: $0
Week
$-96
Vol: $0
Month
$49
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8,877
Vol: $431,585

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
3W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-8,781
Win Rate
17%
3W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $119 (0.013506295915427355% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$108
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$8
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?$2

Top Losers

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$-35
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$-33
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?$-18
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-13
US recession in 2025?$-11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$-7
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-7
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$-7
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?$-6
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.182
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1056s — normal for humanCV 3.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)94.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)4.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 11:47:10 AM16 trades$55,3011 min
7/8/2026, 6:42:44 AM2 trades$45,0000 min
7/10/2026, 8:33:05 PM15 trades$24,9160 min
7/9/2026, 9:21:52 PM474 trades$21,7062 min
7/8/2026, 7:48:13 PM12 trades$21,4005 min
7/13/2026, 11:16:52 PM5 trades$13,0000 min
7/13/2026, 10:07:49 PM5 trades$9,7162 min
5/6/2026, 2:54:12 PM2 trades$9,4100 min
5/6/2026, 1:47:52 PM7 trades$8,2090 min
7/13/2026, 11:00:38 PM9 trades$8,0201 min
7/16/2026, 10:00:32 PM12 trades$6,1980 min
7/10/2026, 6:47:22 PM8 trades$4,9611 min
7/16/2026, 4:43:43 PM3 trades$3,0000 min
7/17/2026, 12:12:22 AM3 trades$2,8990 min
7/5/2026, 3:45:02 PM14 trades$2,7170 min
7/5/2026, 6:05:13 PM14 trades$2,6104 min
4/4/2026, 10:48:25 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
7/8/2026, 7:15:55 PM2 trades$1,7290 min
3/10/2026, 5:48:03 PM1 trades$1,6000 min
2/20/2026, 7:46:54 AM21 trades$1,36611 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-18
03-27
05-07
09-02
06-23
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L94.5 / M1.4 / H4.1