@xiaojiren
#16,720870x537263fdfc15e4e967e63c0c783f22f549e74b1f
~330d· 202 markets · 3956 tradesVol: $473,3632026-08-02 09:50:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
78% (154/197)20/20
1.75x (win $45,554 / loss $26,102)11.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.56815/15
Sortino 3.58910/10
$+0.0657 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 186 (197 markets)10/10
99/128 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($9,048 / $26,318)7.1/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+8,567
DCA Master
Avg 19.2 entries/market
Whale
$296,227 invested
Consistent
99/128 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#7,973$3,540Vol: $350,733
💰 FINANCE#1,121$4,772Vol: $32,794
📈 ECONOMICS#1,625$2,676Vol: $29,906
🎭 CULTURE#816,225$-3,261Vol: $26,091
💻 TECH#4,813$147Vol: $18,444
₿ CRYPTO#1,534,851$-205Vol: $4,271
📢 MENTIONS#6,138$97Vol: $2,506
⚽ SPORTS#134,714$80Vol: $500
🌤️ WEATHER#20,635$12Vol: $203
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8,565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$473,363
Total Redeem
$1,224
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
202
total markets
Trades
3016B / 940S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~330d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$2,744
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $209
All Time
$8,565
Vol: $473,363
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
78%
154W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$8,567
Win Rate
78%
154W / 43L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$296
Avg Loss
$-607
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,349 (1.3247607641539607% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$5,333
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$3,210
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$2,806
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$2,770
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$2,420
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2,182
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$1,884
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1,681
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$1,366
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1,329
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-6,180
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-4,825
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-3,144
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?$-2,198
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-1,894
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-1,594
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$-1,162
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?$-972
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$-801
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-470
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.134
Sortino
0.101
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.069
Kelly %
5.3%
Half-Kelly
2.7%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
21.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 894s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)93.3%
Sessions
#125/2/2026, 10:18:18 AM1 trades$4,9950 min
5/26/2026, 2:11:53 AM30 trades$3,58919 min
6/29/2026, 12:09:16 PM9 trades$3,4570 min
10/14/2025, 4:38:41 PM16 trades$3,39418 min
6/15/2026, 1:32:52 PM3 trades$3,1220 min
5/11/2026, 2:43:58 AM8 trades$3,0290 min
5/12/2026, 12:35:35 PM11 trades$2,9167 min
5/4/2026, 10:00:58 AM17 trades$2,6685 min
7/2/2026, 2:06:22 PM6 trades$2,5044 min
9/16/2025, 5:44:58 PM4 trades$2,4874 min
7/23/2025, 3:46:17 PM2 trades$2,3510 min
7/14/2026, 12:32:01 PM9 trades$2,3223 min
1/6/2026, 12:34:11 AM15 trades$1,99714 min
6/28/2026, 11:27:55 PM6 trades$1,9800 min
1/3/2026, 12:50:31 PM6 trades$1,96610 min
5/26/2026, 8:40:56 AM2 trades$1,9600 min
5/16/2026, 8:04:12 PM1 trades$1,9580 min
5/18/2026, 4:41:19 PM8 trades$1,9400 min
5/5/2026, 5:06:48 AM1 trades$1,9310 min
5/2/2026, 10:06:20 AM1 trades$1,9230 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
09-07
11-03
12-30
03-05
05-26
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.7 / M6 / H93.3