@xiaopuman
#252,442190xfbe2f1f7066a035dacaf1cf625135427ff776f8d
~70d· 97 markets · 4080 tradesVol: $108,9712026-08-04 18:07:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (39/73)11.7/20
0.49x (win $1,605 / loss $3,273)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1450/15
Sortino -3.3070/10
$-0.1038 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2872 (73 markets)0/10
20/33 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 30204% of peak ($2,205 / $7)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+91
DCA Master
Avg 92.2 entries/market
Consistent
20/33 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#60,584$111Vol: $95,285
₿ CRYPTO#1,061,326$-6Vol: $6,598
⚽ SPORTS#306,328$7Vol: $6,149
📈 ECONOMICS#642,366$-38Vol: $347
💰 FINANCE#519,996$-3Vol: $146
📢 MENTIONS#44,720$1Vol: $93
🌤️ WEATHER#102,745$0Vol: $73
🎭 CULTURE#381,795$-0Vol: $7
Overview
#1Net PnL
$91
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$108,971
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
2231B / 1849S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d
Periods
#2Today
$15
Vol: $891
Week
$7
Vol: $4,005
Month
$46
Vol: $4,893
All Time
$91
Vol: $108,971
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
39W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$91
Win Rate
53%
39W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-136
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,036 (11.41509641873278% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$439
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$369
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$228
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$189
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$150
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$30
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$24
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$23
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$23
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,115
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-590
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-419
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-221
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-183
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-141
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-111
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$-92
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$-73
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-54
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.162
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
9349
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
33.6%
Half-Kelly
16.8%
Top-1 market
96.1%
Top-5 markets
113.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.4m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
59.1
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
40% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
92.22
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)81%
Sessions
#125/9/2026, 6:41:46 PM8 trades$10,0301 min
5/9/2026, 2:38:07 PM240 trades$3,03020 min
5/9/2026, 6:52:16 PM6 trades$3,0004 min
5/6/2026, 3:10:44 AM54 trades$1,1706 min
4/15/2026, 1:46:48 AM36 trades$9024 min
4/15/2026, 4:17:42 AM178 trades$8966 min
4/16/2026, 4:46:42 PM139 trades$7692 min
4/15/2026, 3:28:38 AM12 trades$6521 min
4/15/2026, 4:22:04 PM96 trades$5781 min
4/15/2026, 10:03:30 PM84 trades$5691 min
4/15/2026, 6:50:52 AM89 trades$5551 min
4/16/2026, 11:27:22 PM111 trades$5393 min
4/15/2026, 8:16:12 PM86 trades$5281 min
5/6/2026, 2:59:06 PM13 trades$51511 min
4/16/2026, 3:51:02 AM79 trades$5111 min
4/15/2026, 8:06:00 PM81 trades$5081 min
4/16/2026, 3:00:04 PM76 trades$5051 min
4/16/2026, 11:11:14 AM75 trades$5041 min
4/14/2026, 7:50:04 PM16 trades$4822 min
4/15/2026, 12:41:58 PM76 trades$4801 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
04-22
05-07
05-16
05-24
06-09
06-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 92.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.9 / M10.1 / H81