xingaze

@xingaze

#3,120,71525

0x325fe0ebff00b61cf658bb580b698f84986f8e0e

~76d· 82 markets · 1486 tradesVol: $272,4612026-09-10 21:14:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (36/74)9.3/20
0.84x (win $31,857 / loss $37,736)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9100/15
Sortino -1.2730/10
$-0.0504 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 353 (74 markets)10/10
24/47 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 266% of peak ($12,596 / $4,744)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 23.5 entries/market
Whale
$116,729 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,653,963$-11,669Vol: $215,562
📈 ECONOMICS#690,272$-1,324Vol: $21,821
CRYPTO#20,928$1,993Vol: $13,710
💰 FINANCE#3,435$1,339Vol: $10,170
💻 TECH#267,464$-545Vol: $7,715
SPORTS#1,850,985$-1,010Vol: $3,483

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,216
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$272,461
Total Redeem
$4,471
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
688B / 798S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$-364
Vol: $0
Week
$-588
Vol: $0
Month
$-938
Vol: $5,548
All Time
$-11,216
Vol: $272,461

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
36W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-10,081
Win Rate
49%
36W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$885
Avg Loss
$-1,048

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,582 (1.5456494180244773% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6,074
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4,887
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4,621
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,299
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2,215
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1,571
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$1,525
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,063
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$914
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$720

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-5,094
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-3,682
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-3,187
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-3,034
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-2,825
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-2,804
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-2,580
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-2,468
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-1,957
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,861

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.055
HHI
495
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
39.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)74%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 4:58:24 AM40 trades$7,65211 min
6/1/2026, 5:53:01 PM27 trades$7,15412 min
8/16/2026, 8:17:34 PM37 trades$7,1483 min
4/24/2026, 11:07:32 PM2 trades$6,6110 min
4/18/2026, 6:28:50 PM14 trades$5,8022 min
5/30/2026, 9:56:30 AM79 trades$5,7671 min
6/4/2026, 1:12:07 PM65 trades$4,87714 min
7/10/2026, 3:45:22 PM4 trades$4,3580 min
8/20/2026, 12:10:10 PM10 trades$4,3021 min
6/22/2026, 5:06:44 PM4 trades$3,7161 min
4/12/2026, 7:21:31 PM10 trades$3,3191 min
5/2/2026, 5:11:28 PM8 trades$3,0292 min
2/1/2026, 3:05:40 PM1 trades$3,0020 min
6/28/2026, 1:29:55 PM19 trades$2,9224 min
1/28/2026, 8:49:08 PM18 trades$2,6454 min
5/15/2026, 5:41:37 PM19 trades$2,6063 min
5/6/2026, 9:29:54 AM12 trades$2,6003 min
4/12/2026, 7:13:01 PM1 trades$2,5430 min
5/6/2026, 10:54:36 AM14 trades$2,46715 min
6/1/2026, 5:32:28 PM21 trades$2,3723 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-11
03-15
04-10
04-28
05-27
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M24.1 / H74