@xoua

#3,059,89787

0xda3f7aa664b2fbb9225b52d2eb8e3beff01bc282

~197d· 84 markets · 3323 tradesVol: $2,105,4782026-08-02 08:49:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (48/70)19.3/20
4.56x (win $322,460 / loss $70,727)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.60515/15
Sortino 1413.11510/10
$+0.3771 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3422 (70 markets)0/10
21/34 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($943 / $251,733)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 33.3 entries/market
Whale
$667,490 invested
Consistent
21/34 profitable days
High Roller
$1,870/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,706$-13,250Vol: $2,065,065
CRYPTO#1,616,860$-1,035Vol: $30,242
🎭 CULTURE#13,232$222Vol: $10,131
SPORTS#469,145$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,062
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,105,478
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
84
total markets
Trades
2538B / 785S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~197d

Periods

#2
Today
$90
Vol: $0
Week
$-571
Vol: $0
Month
$-668
Vol: $0
All Time
$-14,062
Vol: $2,105,478

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
48W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-14,057
Win Rate
69%
48W / 22L
Profit Factor
4.56x
Avg Win
$6,718
Avg Loss
$-3,368

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $311,209 (22.13963019585776% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$301,543
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5,078
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4,587
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3,426
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$2,869
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?$856
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$800
Ukraine election called in 2025?$799
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12PM ET$293
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$289

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-48,503
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-17,365
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$-3,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8AM ET$-688
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1PM ET$-556
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7AM ET$-285
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3AM ET$-84
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4AM ET$-45
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8AM ET$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.186
Sortino
49.501
HHI
2628
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.443
Kelly %
13.8%
Half-Kelly
6.9%
Top-1 market
49.7%
Top-5 markets
72.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 440s — normal for humanCV 4.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.7%
Mid (20-55c)44.1%
High (>55c)20.3%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 6:47:16 PM240 trades$330,07443 min
5/8/2026, 6:01:01 PM7 trades$23,3002 min
9/22/2025, 7:26:12 PM1 trades$10,0000 min
8/1/2025, 10:19:38 AM1 trades$9,9320 min
3/18/2026, 10:29:41 AM1 trades$9,8430 min
8/7/2025, 11:37:43 AM13 trades$9,26818 min
5/11/2026, 12:43:00 PM1 trades$9,2000 min
1/28/2026, 1:56:47 PM2 trades$9,1003 min
12/15/2025, 4:22:29 PM1 trades$9,0000 min
11/26/2025, 4:19:13 PM1 trades$8,8000 min
11/21/2025, 9:46:23 AM1 trades$8,5000 min
11/26/2025, 2:32:11 AM1 trades$8,5000 min
12/16/2025, 1:15:47 PM1 trades$8,5000 min
7/5/2026, 12:01:43 PM1 trades$8,5000 min
2/18/2026, 9:49:36 AM12 trades$7,7539 min
11/25/2025, 12:46:43 PM3 trades$7,7121 min
12/15/2025, 10:40:21 PM1 trades$7,5000 min
5/12/2026, 9:33:45 AM2 trades$7,4000 min
2/19/2026, 8:33:30 PM4 trades$6,6895 min
12/26/2025, 2:22:55 PM2 trades$6,1764 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-01
08-27
09-02
09-16
10-09
12-19
05-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.7 / M44.1 / H20.3