Polydata

@yangguang0511

#18,9338

0x58fd45d701b93e76d6c04a0983ee5b3cc29d43a6

~275d· 3673 markets · 165059 tradesVol: $54,984,5462026-07-31 15:30:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (942/3525)0/20
0.37x (win $1,685 / loss $4,616)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7590/15
Sortino -1.7570/10
$-0.4184 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1277 (3525 markets)6.1/10
95/250 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 4996% of peak ($2,991 / $60)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+7,203
Lottery Player
94% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#10,923$4,373Vol: $32,863,302
🎭 CULTURE#5,782$815Vol: $7,599,133
💰 FINANCE#3,708$1,177Vol: $6,285,060
🏛️ POLITICS#23,140$662Vol: $5,667,035
SPORTS#1,532,054$-33Vol: $1,163,455
📈 ECONOMICS#17,504$55Vol: $758,130
💻 TECH#211,735$-4Vol: $363,090
🌤️ WEATHER#256,539$-17Vol: $109,382
📢 MENTIONS#24,316$6Vol: $5,769

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,984,546
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3673
total markets
Trades
12955B / 3420S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~275d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $50,862
Week
$16
Vol: $173,632
Month
$203
Vol: $3,167,733
All Time
$7,203
Vol: $54,984,546

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
2582W / 4217L events
Realized PnL
$7,203
Win Rate
38%
2582W / 4217L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $153 (0.02128920920042595% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$108
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 20?$25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22?$19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 14?$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?$18
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 17?$15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 30?$15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?$15

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?$-1,994
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?$-119
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?$-62
Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?$-51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?$-35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?$-32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19?$-31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$-28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 20?$-28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.073
HHI
1619
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.424
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.9%
Top-5 markets
56.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
581.2
Very active
Markets / Day
12.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.6m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
45.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 462s — normal for humanCV 45.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock581 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)93.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)6.2%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 1:35:37 PM20 trades$25,01211 min
6/5/2026, 3:16:43 AM8 trades$11,9790 min
5/4/2026, 2:00:50 PM17 trades$11,8006 min
6/19/2026, 10:43:14 PM3 trades$10,0052 min
6/23/2026, 10:46:59 AM14 trades$7,0374 min
6/19/2026, 12:14:40 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/4/2026, 4:10:46 AM8 trades$4,8080 min
6/20/2026, 12:44:01 PM12 trades$2,6330 min
5/20/2026, 1:24:33 AM2 trades$2,4650 min
4/1/2026, 6:22:31 AM5 trades$2,4485 min
6/12/2026, 2:38:48 PM2 trades$2,2620 min
3/31/2026, 10:14:47 PM3 trades$1,3920 min
6/15/2026, 5:23:10 AM2 trades$1,1210 min
6/3/2026, 10:32:33 AM10 trades$4140 min
5/8/2026, 8:24:54 AM5 trades$3371 min
5/10/2026, 1:57:42 AM11 trades$1721 min
4/3/2026, 3:48:53 PM1 trades$1020 min
5/29/2026, 7:48:41 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/25/2026, 6:57:36 PM13 trades$800 min
5/15/2026, 10:19:34 PM2 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
12-02
01-24
03-06
04-16
05-27
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 189 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.35/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L93.8 / M0 / H6.2