Multi-outcome · 8 open
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Volume $180.1kTraders 173Trades 4,013
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $101.8k
40.5%
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open · $55.1k
39.5%
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open · $2.4k
13.5%
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $10.0k
12.0%
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $6.7k
12.0%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open · $17.3k
11.5%
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $5.5k
11.5%
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $16.3k
10.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x7ab4…716b1 mkts · $9.9k
- 0xf0f6…f6991 mkts · $8.5k
- 0x57e4…835e3 mkts · $4.8k
- 0x510b…da8d6 mkts · $3.6k
- 0x6a26…8acb1 mkts · $3.6k
- 0x076f…b9a81 mkts · $3.2k
- 0x4d45…97f41 mkts · $3.2k
- 0xb893…35d61 mkts · $2.6k
- 0xe53c…e5696 mkts · $2.4k
- 0xf3fa…7be37 mkts · $2.1k
- 0x677f…5e112 mkts · $1.8k
- 0xf17d…6f867 mkts · $1.7k
- 0x7d26…a7d12 mkts · $1.6k
- 0xcf07…c7705 mkts · $1.4k
- 0x6d72…a3991 mkts · $1.3k