Multi-outcome · 13 open · 1 closed hidden
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
open · $77
49.5%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
open · $27
48.0%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
open · $122
40.5%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
open · $112
40.5%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
open · $108
25.5%
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?
open · $106
15.0%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
open · $94.6k
14.5%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
open · $314
12.0%
Will Trump Airport become law this year?
open · $1.5k
7.5%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
open · $131
7.2%
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
open · $265
7.0%
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?
open · $3.3k
6.5%
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?
open · $152
4.5%
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