Multi-outcome · 8 open
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
Volume $13.0kTraders 41Trades 954
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?
open · $1.5k
47.5%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?
open · $669
30.5%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?
open · $1.4k
18.0%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B?
open · $543
8.8%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?
open · $1.5k
4.8%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B?
open · $443
4.6%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?
open · $1.1k
4.0%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?
open · $16.8k
3.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x0711…f03c5 mkts · $1.7k
- 0xb87f…f7d45 mkts · $383
- 0xe0f1…c4bd2 mkts · $337
- 0x827b…6cb42 mkts · $290
- 0xfde3…c59b6 mkts · $223
- 0x8fe7…6c1f8 mkts · $174
- 0x9474…50916 mkts · $133
- 0xad53…ef245 mkts · $132
- 0x58e8…bb5a1 mkts · $111
- 0x9422…f2732 mkts · $109
- 0xf528…7e5b3 mkts · $87
- 0xaeab…87251 mkts · $81
- 0x0446…cc694 mkts · $59
- 0xb032…c16c3 mkts · $52
- 0xf2cf…464b2 mkts · $47