Multi-outcome · 18 open · 3 closed hidden

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Volume $72.9kTraders 213Trades 2,532

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $7.0k
70.0%
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $821
62.0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $241
59.0%
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $394
52.5%
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $207
49.0%
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $2.0k
29.0%
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $1.4k
17.0%
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $333
13.5%
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $299
13.3%
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $228
13.0%
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $165
12.5%
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $277
11.5%
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $553
10.7%
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $214
9.5%
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $2.8k
9.0%
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $4.8k
8.5%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $505
5.5%
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $16.8k
5.4%

Probability ladder · open only

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