0x470e393465fb3d9994b33680ac035a2ca724c63be0abd41da47b2dd22c204845
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 9.5% · CLOB volume $2.8k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 18/21 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
9.5%
Yes
Implied No
90.5%
No
Volume
$2.8k
CLOB
Traders
50
132 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8469…dab0 | $1.1k | $548 | $576 | $28 |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $625 | $381 | $245 | $-136 |
| 0x2251…25a0 | $579 | $390 | $189 | $-201 |
| 0xc3fc…484a | $382 | $258 | $124 | $-134 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb061…be74 | 30 | $10.3k | $-1.1k | 1 |
| 0x8c10…d7b3 | 9 | $3.3k | $-3.2k | 2 |
| 0x37b0…3646 | 4 | $3.2k | $-3.2k | 3 |
| 0x054d…27bf | 24 | $3.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
18 open · 21 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
closed · $10.5k
100.0%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
closed · $7.1k
100.0%
Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
closed · $1.4k
100.0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $7.0k
70.0%
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $821
62.0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $241
59.0%
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $394
52.5%
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $207
49.0%
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $2.0k
29.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $1.4k
17.0%
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $333
13.5%
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $299
13.0%
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $165
12.5%
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $277
12.0%
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $228
11.0%
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $553
10.7%
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $2.8k
9.0%
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $4.8k
8.5%
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $214
8.5%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open · $505
5.5%
| 0x6538…9392 | $314 | $196 | $117 | $-79 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $309 | $309 | $0 | $-309 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $207 | $137 | $70 | $-67 |
| 0xf524…8178 | $145 | $97 | $48 | $-49 |
| 0xda20…cb8d | $144 | $97 | $47 | $-50 |
| 0xba6c…618b | $137 | $94 | $43 | $-51 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $136 | $132 | $4 | $-128 |
| 0x574b…8ee5 | $101 | $67 | $34 | $-33 |
| $-1.8k |
| 2 |
| 0x9731…a821 | 278 | $2.9k | $-488 | 2 |
| 0x2251…25a0 | 61 | $2.8k | $-1.6k | 11 |
| 0xe947…ab96 | 8 | $2.7k | $-2.6k | 3 |
| 0x5a0d…c6be | 99 | $2.5k | $-642 | 9 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 58 | $2.3k | $-2.1k | 9 |
| 0xaf68…e9a7 | 49 | $2.1k | $932 | 6 |
