Multi-outcome · 22 open
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $19.6k
98.4%
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $7.3k
98.3%
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $7.0k
97.8%
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $17.2k
97.5%
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $11.8k
96.3%
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $16.0k
92.5%
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $16.7k
91.5%
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $93.4k
90.5%
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $4.7k
90.5%
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $18.5k
8.2%
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $8.5k
5.9%
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $31.9k
5.5%
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $15.9k
4.4%
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $5.2k
3.6%
Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $10.1k
3.5%
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $11.7k
3.4%
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $9.0k
3.1%
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $7.0k
3.0%
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $22.5k
2.7%
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $10.5k
2.5%
Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $7.4k
2.1%
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
open · $28.8k
1.7%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x6d57…bfc517 mkts · $26.3k
- 0x28ca…5d191 mkts · $10.3k
- 0x1c14…08697 mkts · $7.5k
- 0x51b1…78651 mkts · $6.2k
- 0xc602…7fc110 mkts · $4.3k
- 0x897a…41942 mkts · $4.0k
- 0xb1ca…17052 mkts · $3.9k
- 0x1f9e…4f1a2 mkts · $3.5k
- 0x31ab…86cf1 mkts · $2.6k
- 0x5ce3…f7794 mkts · $2.2k
- 0x167a…91d56 mkts · $2.2k
- 0xc3fc…484a9 mkts · $2.2k
- 0x21ff…0d7110 mkts · $2.0k
- 0x9474…509116 mkts · $1.9k
- 0x168f…9e007 mkts · $1.6k