Multi-outcome · 5 open · 1 closed hidden
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Volume $62.9kTraders 172Trades 1,822
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?
open · $13.3k
81.0%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?
open · $11.5k
10.8%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?
open · $14.4k
2.0%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?
open · $5.2k
0.5%
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
open · $4.2k
0.5%
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