Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?

0x3edcbad23759d42f93f59bed04f76234a14de27f7a232128515b95f34960e694

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $5.2k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $242 · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$5.2k

CLOB

Traders

183 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$242

Buy

$1.0k

Sell

$783

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($242)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($5.2k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:10:09

100000.0¢$631

—BUY2026-08-02 00:10:09

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 10:28:53

100000.0¢$10

—BUY2026-08-01 10:28:53

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-08-01 01:44:32

1.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x29e7…fbbf	$1.6k	$6	$1.6k	$1.6k
0x0380…073d	$721	$720	$1	$-719
0x4041…6f52	$662	$656	$6	$-651
0x0873…09e8	$632	$632	$0	$-632

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x34db…1b63	459	$21.3k	$631	6
0x1186…051b	74	$11.8k	$-2.3k	3
0xe495…c165	56	$9.6k	$-9.1k	4
0xa49b…7054	33	$4.4k

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