Home/Market/0xa488ab…9ae4d4

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Active 12 days left

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

0xa488ab1e9bc72914b695c398c0027bd4edc1679d6ff949c1861fa33b2c9ae4d4

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 2.5% · CLOB volume $652.0k · whales 24h net $10.2k (30 wallets) · 7d net $147.9k · 1/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.5%

Yes

Implied No

97.5%

Volume

$652.0k

CLOB

Traders

680

3,671 trades

Yes 2.5%No 97.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

3.0% → 2.6% (-0.4pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$10.2k

Buy

$24.6k

Sell

$14.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$147.9k

Buy

$284.1k

Sell

$136.2k

Whales

170

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($10.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($147.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 22:50:45

3846.2¢$20

YESBUY2026-08-04 22:50:45

2.6¢$1

YESBUY2026-08-04 22:49:36

3.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-04 22:49:36

3225.8¢$32

YESBUY2026-08-04 21:49:00

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x5715…1616	$84.3k	$30.6k	$53.7k	$23.2k
0x993c…6787	$61.6k	$41.9k	$19.7k	$-22.2k
0x97cb…c910	$53.2k	$26.0k	$27.2k	$1.2k
0xe52c…6924	$38.8k	$37.3k	$1.5k	$-35.7k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xed10…d2e5	23	$858.7k	$-855.3k	1
0xab19…4876	347	$446.4k	$-446.2k	4
0x122c…fbed	1,765	$303.4k	$-7.3k	4
0x993c…6787	860	$261.5k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API