Multi-outcome · 7 open
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
Volume $37.3kTraders 168Trades 1,867
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
open · $4.9k
29.5%
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
open · $5.9k
25.4%
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?
open · $952
11.8%
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?
open · $7.9k
11.0%
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?
open · $5.3k
10.0%
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?
open · $1.8k
6.5%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
open · $3.6k
3.8%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x72a2…7b653 mkts · $9.7k
- 0x6f57…b03f1 mkts · $6.3k
- 0x2884…d0c36 mkts · $3.3k
- 0x8469…dab01 mkts · $3.1k
- 0xbd14…76b43 mkts · $2.3k
- 0x1694…8bad2 mkts · $1.8k
- 0x5195…44eb7 mkts · $1.4k
- 0x8fe7…6c1f7 mkts · $1.1k
- 0x073e…84163 mkts · $1.0k
- 0x6f67…102c4 mkts · $879
- 0x4605…07e67 mkts · $870
- 0xc602…7fc15 mkts · $854
- 0x5a21…93187 mkts · $832
- 0xc7d0…1f8a4 mkts · $758
- 0xe347…b4387 mkts · $706