Multi-outcome · 6 open
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
open · $36.8k
43.4%
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
open · $20.5k
35.5%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
open · $34.9k
14.0%
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
open · $13.3k
7.0%
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
open · $9.6k
2.2%
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
open · $8.9k
0.7%
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