Multi-outcome · 6 open
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Volume $3.4kTraders 63Trades 188
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
open · $9.4k
38.0%
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
open · $1.8k
36.5%
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
open · $4.7k
17.5%
Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
open · $1.0k
8.6%
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
open · $2.3k
8.0%
Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
open · $783
0.9%
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