Multi-outcome · 5 open · 1 closed hidden
Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory
Volume $120.0kTraders 309Trades 2,514
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?
open · $15.1k
63.7%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
open · $54.7k
23.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
open · $22.4k
14.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?
open · $15.7k
1.7%
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?
open · $8.4k
0.9%
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