Multi-outcome · 10 open
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $6.5k
41.5%
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $1.5k
36.0%
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $356
11.0%
Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $3.1k
7.3%
Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $706
7.2%
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $281
5.8%
Will Carole Delga win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $247
4.3%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $300
3.8%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $488
2.9%
Will Jérôme Guedj win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
open · $232
1.1%
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