Multi-outcome · 17 open · 3 closed hidden
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $8.7k
38.4%
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $92.5k
30.5%
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $274
30.0%
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $137
29.3%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $299.0k
29.0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $86.3k
28.5%
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $172
27.0%
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $30.8k
26.5%
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $404
23.5%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $43.1k
22.5%
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $96.0k
22.1%
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $54.4k
19.5%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $109.1k
18.5%
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $554
13.0%
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $2.2k
10.0%
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $3.1k
7.0%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open · $15.1k
6.5%
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