Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?

0xa2df577205d2ce04af348ef5d5174259c5990d20784e1a063992c1f155b2ec27

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 42.5% · CLOB volume $274 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 17/20 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

42.5%

Yes

Implied No

57.5%

Volume

$274

CLOB

Traders

44 trades

Yes 42.5%No 57.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 42.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($274) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

18 shown

NOBUY2026-07-18 15:04:04

1111.1¢$3

YESBUY2026-07-18 15:04:04

9.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-18 15:02:45

85.0¢$2

YESBUY2026-07-18 15:02:45

15.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-17 00:22:31

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x38e5…95e7	$131	$66	$65	$-1
0x1790…6fd2	$26	$26	$0	$-26
0x85df…fb48	$24	$24	$0	$-24
0xf2cf…464b	$10	$10	$0	$-10

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x38e5…95e7	568	$14.4k	$2.7k	13
0x993c…6787	81	$8.7k	$-3.9k	7
0x355e…a038	222	$8.0k	$-2.2k	11
0x6b0e…e3ea	406	$5.7k

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