Multi-outcome · 5 open
What will Elon post this week? (August 3 - August 9)
Volume $868Traders 24Trades 57
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?
open · $127
54.0%
Will Elon post "President" on X this week?
open · $55
51.0%
Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week?
open · $322
51.0%
Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?
open · $200
41.5%
Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?
open · $301
7.0%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x726c…6bfd3 mkts · $349
- 0xf021…df564 mkts · $340
- 0x7495…7fcf2 mkts · $86
- 0xdbf9…b9cc1 mkts · $66
- 0xe8fc…0d3b1 mkts · $45
- 0x8f31…84a22 mkts · $44
- 0x26bc…6b721 mkts · $40
- 0x00eb…4cf01 mkts · $39
- 0x9362…d4a41 mkts · $36
- 0x420f…90902 mkts · $33
- 0xaaf7…2e271 mkts · $31
- 0xf528…7e5b2 mkts · $27
- 0xa400…14bb2 mkts · $25
- 0xbead…a7e72 mkts · $15
- 0x8eff…fb571 mkts · $14