Multi-outcome · 18 open

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Volume $221.7kTraders 339Trades 3,423

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $33.3k
24.0%
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $28.1k
22.5%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $67.7k
20.0%
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $21.5k
19.5%
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $17.3k
17.5%
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $12.9k
17.5%
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $31.1k
16.5%
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $19.8k
16.0%
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $23.6k
15.5%
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $40.2k
11.0%
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $36.3k
10.5%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $24.3k
9.5%
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $13.8k
6.5%
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $9.8k
6.1%
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $11.5k
5.9%
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $20.1k
5.5%
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $14.5k
4.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $23.2k
2.4%

Probability ladder · open only

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