Multi-outcome · 7 open
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
open · $29.9k
24.5%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
open · $6.4k
21.7%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
open · $2.7k
21.0%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
open · $2.8k
18.6%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
open · $6.3k
17.1%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
open · $14.3k
4.1%
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?
open · $2.7k
4.0%
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