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Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceActive 20 days left

Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

0x06f12262ef60d5db1fd166d818a113bf751cab5504058c2b21ac36d35e721fd8

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.8% · CLOB volume $1.1k · whales 24h net $182 (5 wallets) · 7d net $182 · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.8%

Yes

Implied No

99.3%

Volume

$1.1k

CLOB

Traders

11 trades

Yes 0.8%No 99.3%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

0.8% → 0.3% (-0.5pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$182

Buy

$183

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$182

Buy

$183

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($182)
•7d whale net still positive ($182)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.8% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($1.1k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

11 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 10:33:30

99.7¢$40

—BUY2026-08-04 10:33:30

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 05:23:45

99.2¢$87

—BUY2026-08-04 05:23:45

0.8¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-04 05:23:45

99.2¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x5a21…9318	$100	$99	$1	$-99
0x0380…073d	$88	$87	$1	$-87
0xcfff…673d	$80	$80	$0	$-79
0x9cdd…df3e	$8	$4	$4	$0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x2128…f203	284	$35.9k	$-3.3k	4
0x1f0a…f7aa	276	$5.5k	$-3.8k	6
0x7ac8…77cd	60	$5.2k	$-1.6k	2
0xfaa0…139c	28	$4.1k

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