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Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceActive 20 days left

Will Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

0xf8108d9b9446ccc206c42b2eb4f13eaeb3bd1cc78ac6c15b962f765ecee90444

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $797 · whales 24h net $163 (4 wallets) · 7d net $163 · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$797

CLOB

Traders

9 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$163

Buy

$203

Sell

$40

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$163

Buy

$203

Sell

$40

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($163)
•7d whale net still positive ($163)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($797) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

9 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 10:33:32

99.8¢$40

NOBUY2026-08-04 10:33:32

100.2¢$40

NOBUY2026-08-04 05:23:47

99.8¢$88

NOBUY2026-08-04 05:23:47

100.2¢$83

—BUY2026-08-04 05:23:47

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0380…073d	$171	$88	$83	$-5
0x1f0a…f7aa	$123	$123	$0	$-123
0x764b…6bad	$80	$40	$40	$0
0xcfff…673d	$40	$40	$0	$-40

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x2128…f203	284	$35.9k	$-3.3k	4
0x1f0a…f7aa	276	$5.5k	$-3.8k	6
0x7ac8…77cd	60	$5.2k	$-1.6k	2
0xfaa0…139c	28	$4.1k

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