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Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?Active 1 day left

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

0x1875ab4cc1323ffda97886e99242b52fba99b6fc715ec4ae27c65b200bcac753

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $184.7k · whales 24h net $34.3k (120 wallets) · 7d net $61.0k · 3/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$184.7k

CLOB

Traders

358

3,271 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

0.8% → 0.2% (-0.6pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$34.3k

Buy

$50.8k

Sell

$16.4k

Whales

120

Last 7 days

Net flow

$61.0k

Buy

$121.7k

Sell

$60.8k

Whales

208

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($34.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($61.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Near expiry (1 day left)

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 16:11:47

100000.0¢$100

—BUY2026-08-03 16:11:47

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-03 16:05:57

100000.0¢$20

—BUY2026-08-03 16:05:57

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-08-03 15:47:21

0.2¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x590e…e43d	$27.0k	$26.9k	$99	$-26.8k
0x6a1b…fbbd	$14.3k	$4.8k	$9.5k	$4.6k
0xbbdc…5d81	$11.1k	$11.0k	$16	$-11.0k
0xc4d5…87cf	$9.8k	$6.9k	$2.9k	$-4.0k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x590e…e43d	1,718	$87.5k	$-86.0k	6
0xaac2…e8ce	151	$39.8k	$-20.9k	3
0xbbdc…5d81	119	$33.3k	$-33.0k	3
0x74ff…be5b	501	$31.9k

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