Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?

0x1d80725b371d70e726f29bf536218aea076b7d67e9058a24462b061c04f277b2

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 18.0% · CLOB volume $9.1k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

18.0%

Yes

Implied No

82.0%

Volume

$9.1k

CLOB

Traders

169 trades

Yes 18.0%No 82.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 18.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($9.1k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

10 shown

NOBUY2026-06-30 08:02:47

434.8¢$15

NOBUY2026-06-30 08:02:47

129.9¢$15

NOBUY2026-06-29 20:06:05

131.6¢$5

NOBUY2026-06-29 20:06:05

76.0¢$4

NOBUY2026-06-28 21:27:37

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xb980…73b0	$38	$19	$19	$0
0x9cb3…1367	$30	$15	$15	$0
0x9474…5091	$24	$24	$0	$-24
0xbb9f…557b	$15	$15	$0	$-15

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x7957…ddbc	61	$1.1k	$-848	6
0xe53c…e569	53	$1.1k	$102	6
0x7c9e…db3d	36	$855	$49	2
0xc602…7fc1	31	$847

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