Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?

0x5ea3bfa0c978191b52596309368f6de493fd107922299291fa869590033345b5

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 20.5% · CLOB volume $399 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

20.5%

Yes

Implied No

79.5%

Volume

$399

CLOB

Traders

36 trades

Yes 20.5%No 79.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 20.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($399) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

8 shown

YESBUY2026-07-06 06:43:14

18.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-06 06:43:14

555.6¢$1

YESBUY2026-07-06 06:43:11

18.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-06 06:43:11

555.6¢$11

NOBUY2026-06-26 19:15:05

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xe457…5ab3	$16	$14	$2	$-12
0xb777…3ff9	$14	$14	$0	$-14
0xfdd1…1829	$14	$12	$2	$-10
0xe53c…e569	$13	$2	$11	$9

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x7957…ddbc	61	$1.1k	$-848	6
0xe53c…e569	53	$1.1k	$102	6
0x7c9e…db3d	36	$855	$49	2
0xc602…7fc1	31	$847

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API