0x1e5564c1a2a6839cc2780a889437c63786a2c2ec5e95569b710ee659a3e8baa2
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $2.32M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $2.32M · whales 24h net $157.8k (30 wallets) · 7d net $198.3k · 28/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.5%
Yes
Implied No
94.5%
No
Volume
$2.32M
CLOB
Traders
1,641
13,657 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.0% → 5.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$157.8k
Buy
$317.1k
Sell
$159.4k
Whales
30
Last 7 days
Net flow
$198.3k
Buy
$395.7k
Sell
$197.4k
Whales
77
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe734…4f0c | $339.3k | $181.2k | $158.0k | $-23.2k |
| 0x1465…7072 | $195.2k | $193.9k | $1.4k | $-192.5k |
| 0x716d…4206 | $120.6k | $73.3k | $47.4k | $-25.9k |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | $100.8k | $89.8k | $11.0k | $-78.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe734…4f0c | 1,278 | $2.27M | $-1.23M | 20 |
| 0x1465…7072 | 1,101 | $1.72M | $-1.24M | 13 |
| 0xcc50…4c82 | 2,953 | $1.42M | $82.7k | 21 |
| 0x6916…2fd4 | 1,925 | $1.40M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
28 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $1.54M
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $1.12M
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $921.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $775.6k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $680.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $274.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $257.8k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $137.4k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $44.1k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $43.9k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $23.2k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $15.2k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $12.4k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
closed · $268.5k
100.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $1.99M
80.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $681.7k
61.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $3.44M
41.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $1.78M
24.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $1.93M
14.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
open · $863.8k
13.0%
| 0x42d1…dab6 | $85.2k | $78.6k | $6.6k | $-72.1k |
| 0x56ad…f13e | $78.8k | $40.0k | $38.8k | $-1.2k |
| 0x8b4b…541b | $70.2k | $52.5k | $17.7k | $-34.8k |
| 0xfa03…8916 | $48.7k | $36.5k | $12.3k | $-24.2k |
| 0x94d7…b8e0 | $44.1k | $16.7k | $27.3k | $10.6k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $40.3k | $33.2k | $7.2k | $-26.0k |
| 0x6916…2fd4 | $39.5k | $39.5k | $0 | $-39.5k |
| 0xcc50…4c82 | $26.1k | $12.8k | $13.3k | $489 |
| $-1.40M |
| 32 |
| 0x56ad…f13e | 1,006 | $1.34M | $-379.2k | 11 |
| 0x6ad9…8d2e | 204 | $1.19M | $-475.1k | 1 |
| 0x42d1…dab6 | 360 | $1.12M | $-689.7k | 5 |
| 0x716d…4206 | 577 | $1.12M | $-68.6k | 3 |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | 1,028 | $1.05M | $-301.8k | 29 |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | 1,211 | $931.8k | $-68.7k | 22 |
