Will Julio Rodríguez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

0x2dd5e7b822f28c63abff6c4308f41b1b3471145127a318d82c6cb02b216b6f85

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 4.1% · CLOB volume $123 · whales 24h net $21 (2 wallets) · 7d net $21 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

4.1%

Yes

Implied No

95.9%

Volume

$123

CLOB

Traders

13 trades

Yes 4.1%No 95.9%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$21

Buy

$21

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$21

Buy

$21

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($21)
•7d whale net still positive ($21)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 4.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($123) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

10 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 16:49:15

98.7¢$21

—BUY2026-08-04 16:49:15

1.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-24 20:37:33

12500.0¢$5

—BUY2026-07-24 20:37:33

0.8¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-22 22:37:28

99.0¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x9393…18cf	$82	$6	$76	$70
0x2106…4dea	$76	$76	$0	$-76
0xffaf…b675	$21	$21	$0	$-20
0xd23f…94a1	$7	$7	$0	$-6

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x9393…18cf	49	$810	$660	10
0x2106…4dea	14	$458	$-458	5
0x7c9e…db3d	17	$420	$25	2
0xffaf…b675	11	$303

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