Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

0xeda10cc8809a8a6f8723b6ba1dabac71bebf02844fc1d422292d73bfc0b7ebde

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 2.1% · CLOB volume $117 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.1%

Yes

Implied No

97.8%

Volume

$117

CLOB

Traders

13 trades

Yes 2.1%No 97.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($117) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

10 shown

NOBUY2026-07-23 12:25:55

50000.0¢$10

—BUY2026-07-23 12:25:55

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-23 10:06:33

20000.0¢$10

—BUY2026-07-23 10:06:33

0.5¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-22 22:37:28

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x9393…18cf	$79	$3	$76	$73
0x2106…4dea	$76	$76	$0	$-76
0xa75c…895e	$10	$10	$0	$-10
0x7bbf…7ce5	$10	$10	$0	$-10

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x9393…18cf	49	$810	$660	10
0x2106…4dea	14	$458	$-458	5
0x7c9e…db3d	17	$420	$25	2
0xffaf…b675	11	$303

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API