0x3fd189cac9280dfc49a07115581e8d4c9e0b7e1c1e8580a44e9ff3d74e39cf2d
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?” trades at 26% YES on Polymarket with $419.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 25.5% · CLOB volume $419.3k · whales 24h net $31.6k (77 wallets) · 7d net $51.5k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
25.5%
Yes
Implied No
74.5%
No
Volume
$419.3k
CLOB
Traders
822
5,881 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
34.0% → 26.0% (-8.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$31.6k
Buy
$57.1k
Sell
$25.4k
Whales
77
Last 7 days
Net flow
$51.5k
Buy
$94.5k
Sell
$43.0k
Whales
113
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $70.2k | $32.3k | $37.9k | $5.6k |
| 0xcfee…ffcd | $35.8k | $19.1k | $16.7k | $-2.4k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $22.2k | $10.0k | $12.1k | $2.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $14.8k | $14.8k | $0 | $-14.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 616 | $108.4k | $-2.5k | 2 |
| 0xe52c…6924 | 40 | $66.8k | $-41.4k | 1 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 75 | $60.9k | $5.9k | 2 |
| 0x1c14…0869 | 82 | $57.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
open · $549.3k
73.5%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
open · $419.3k
25.5%
| 0x68c2…1711 | $13.5k | $11.3k | $2.2k | $-9.0k |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7 | $13.1k | $8.0k | $5.1k | $-2.9k |
| 0xe899…0899 | $13.0k | $9.6k | $3.4k | $-6.2k |
| 0xa8b7…ee3c | $12.6k | $12.6k | $0 | $-12.6k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $12.3k | $7.7k | $4.5k | $-3.2k |
| 0xe0db…f44e | $11.9k | $10.8k | $1.1k | $-9.7k |
| 0xeb22…808a | $11.4k | $6.1k | $5.3k | $-880 |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | $10.1k | $10.1k | $29 | $-10.0k |
| $-3.0k |
| 2 |
| 0xcfee…ffcd | 111 | $45.7k | $-2.6k | 2 |
| 0xe899…0899 | 53 | $42.6k | $-26.7k | 2 |
| 0x8376…3d2b | 53 | $33.1k | $346 | 2 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 283 | $27.9k | $-7.3k | 2 |
| 0x8b36…a393 | 84 | $26.7k | $-16.9k | 2 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 140 | $26.5k | $-3.2k | 2 |
