Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

0x4092815fea8f91e60586882d45fa2f61bfca8a36d595f47fdea9eec5d2893025

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 11.3% · CLOB volume $81.2k · whales 24h net $148 (5 wallets) · 7d net $11.8k · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

11.3%

Yes

Implied No

88.7%

Volume

$81.2k

CLOB

Traders

353

1,678 trades

Yes 11.3%No 88.7%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$148

Buy

$609

Sell

$461

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$11.8k

Buy

$14.4k

Sell

$2.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($148)
•7d whale net still positive ($11.8k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 11.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-07-20 14:01:46

11.3¢$6

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:01:46

885.0¢$51

YESBUY2026-07-20 13:59:13

11.3¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-20 13:59:13

885.0¢$41

YESBUY2026-07-20 13:59:12

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x3a8a…7699	465	$284.9k	$-276.1k	4
0x5f8e…21b7	418	$228.3k	$33.1k	2
0x9351…9e4d	123	$145.0k	$-137.5k	1
0xbdef…fa87	51	$108.3k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans