0x4092815fea8f91e60586882d45fa2f61bfca8a36d595f47fdea9eec5d2893025
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $142.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.6% · CLOB volume $142.8k · whales 24h net $3.7k (19 wallets) · 7d net $8.5k · 3/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.6%
Yes
Implied No
96.4%
No
Volume
$142.8k
CLOB
Traders
461
2,452 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.6% → 3.8% (+0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.7k
Buy
$8.0k
Sell
$4.3k
Whales
19
Last 7 days
Net flow
$8.5k
Buy
$23.6k
Sell
$15.1k
Whales
40
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb7b8…db31 | $20.3k | $20.2k | $21 | $-20.2k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $18.9k | $1.0k | $17.9k | $16.8k |
| 0xcdb1…276c | $6.7k | $5.6k | $1.2k | $-4.4k |
| 0xd798…f8bc | $6.4k | $317 | $6.1k | $5.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed10…d2e5 | 119 | $145.1k | $-31.5k | 1 |
| 0xb7b8…db31 | 149 | $57.0k | $-57.0k | 3 |
| 0x8a7b…782f | 82 | $56.2k | $-48.8k | 4 |
| 0xf6ea…0a00 | 134 | $55.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 7 total · Event board
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
open · $317.5k
7.5%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
open · $142.8k
3.6%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
open · $494.3k
0.4%
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
closed · $785.0k
0.0%
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
closed · $588.1k
0.0%
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
closed · $579.1k
0.0%
| 0x4755…4338 | $5.5k | $5.2k | $304 | $-4.9k |
| 0xf6ea…0a00 | $5.4k | $4.3k | $1.0k | $-3.3k |
| 0x51be…2df3 | $5.1k | $3.0k | $2.1k | $-886 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $4.5k | $4.5k | $0 | $-4.5k |
| 0xcdf8…b8ea | $4.2k | $2.3k | $1.9k | $-477 |
| 0x2b77…9ec3 | $3.2k | $2.1k | $1.1k | $-1.0k |
| 0xb891…502f | $2.8k | $1.5k | $1.3k | $-285 |
| 0xcaab…24dd | $2.4k | $2.3k | $32 | $-2.3k |
| $-20.4k |
| 3 |
| 0xcdb1…276c | 149 | $48.9k | $-40.1k | 2 |
| 0x30e4…5102 | 110 | $26.8k | $9.6k | 3 |
| 0x0845…6b6f | 42 | $25.5k | $-23.2k | 2 |
| 0xa8b9…6b7c | 127 | $24.6k | $4.9k | 1 |
| 0x40c5…5cba | 652 | $23.7k | $-15.0k | 3 |
| 0x4755…4338 | 126 | $23.5k | $-19.6k | 2 |
