Will Joshua Vasquez be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

0x423f7bf6c3fdedd0affa7252fc0d2c448a8fad719c1eb022a02f15c5996596eb

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $13.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$13.5k

CLOB

Traders

490 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($13.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

7 shown

—BUY2026-07-04 12:45:23

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-04 12:45:23

100000.0¢$135

NOBUY2026-07-04 12:45:23

100000.0¢$229

NOBUY2026-07-04 12:45:23

100000.0¢$20

NOBUY2026-07-04 12:45:23

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x907d…20c4	$2.1k	$2.1k	$0	$-2.1k
0x1f49…24fc	$2.0k	$2	$2.0k	$2.0k
0xf199…35b5	$526	$1	$526	$525
0x98ac…40d9	$229	$229	$0	$-229

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x5d2b…cb8c	19	$15.1k	$-5.9k	1
0x5207…686b	6	$7.4k	$-108	1
0x515e…8309	6	$4.6k	$-4.3k	1
0x907d…20c4	3	$3.1k

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