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Where will Julian Alvarez transfer?Active 29 days left

Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid?

0x4eec5fc025c92e7038dbecd0f3b945c569bd9d7a8fc40138de18008a885f69f8

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $3.0k · whales 24h net $481 (5 wallets) · 7d net $571 · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$3.0k

CLOB

Traders

211 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$481

Buy

$482

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$571

Buy

$604

Sell

$33

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($481)
•7d whale net still positive ($571)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($3.0k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 20:27:33

99.9¢$64

—BUY2026-08-04 20:27:33

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 20:23:44

99.9¢$13

—BUY2026-08-04 20:23:44

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 20:23:42

99.9¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xb0c8…fe7f	$499	$499	$1	$-498
0x764b…6bad	$384	$382	$2	$-380
0xc041…1c36	$356	$1	$355	$354
0x1ee9…197f	$288	$2	$286	$284

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x8f7b…2a5f	122	$6.3k	$-2.4k	2
0xe381…3ba9	116	$5.8k	$-229	1
0x49c4…bf77	99	$4.2k	$-3.7k	4
0x8b9e…6838	90	$2.9k

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